1. Transaction risk: Is the risk of adverse exchange rate movements between the date the price is agreed and the date cash is received /paid ,arising during normal international trade. 交易风险:由于约定价格日 VS 收付款日之间的汇率的不利波 动的风险。
2. Translation risk: Is the risk that the organization will make exchange losses when the accounting results of its foreigh branches or subsidiaries are translated into the home currency. 折算风险:将国外分部的资产、负债折算成本币时,账面上的损 失。但实际不产生现金流,但会导致财务报表不好看,影响股价,或者股东对公 司的看法。
3. Economic risk: Is the risk that the present value of a company’s future cash flow might be reduced by adverse exchange rate movements. 经济风险:是公司的未来 现金流的 PV 值会因为汇率的不利不动而减少。
补充:PPP 购买力平价理论认为,两国汇率波动受两国的通胀率的影响。在市场 有效的情况下,因为通胀导致的汇率损失会被售价上涨所弥补。但长此以往,这 个国家的货币会失去竞争力 competitive position。 自此,该货币的定价权‘law of one price’ 将不在持续。比如,历史上的 USA 崛起&UK 的衰弱。所以,如果一国 货币长期处于相对较弱的经济形势中,很可能会面临经济风险,因为从长期来看, 未来现金流的价值会 decline.